Finding Value at Augusta National Golf Club

Big thanks to Sergio Garcia for helping me hit on $20 at 35-1 in 2017 — picking winners at Augusta will always hold a special place in my heart. When it comes to “return on investment,” singling golf tournament winners pays well. Where else can you bet $10 on the favorite and win $100? If we eliminate Sandy Lyle, “Woosie”, Larry Mize, Jose Maria Olazabal and the three amateurs; picking winners is 1/80 which is difficult, however 10/1 on the world No. 1 isn’t bad.

Reports from Georgia indicate the golf course is playing firm and fast which opens the door to those that know how to get around Amen Corner with finesse. The player that can play position-golf, get to the proper sections of the greens and make putts will win.  

One can only imagine the heated scene as green coated-Masters planning committee gathered to plan the 2021 edition, “I’ll be damned if them boys go around our golf course at 20-under par again! Unleash hell, superintendent!”

Dechambeau with his 211 ball speed could win, only if he’s hitting his wedges and putting like he did at the 2020 U.S. Open. “Beware of the wounded golfer,” they say, but Florida State Seminole Brooks Koepka is too wounded for my liking. Another “Nole”, Daniel Berger has been playing well and could make it to Butler Cabin, but doesn’t make my list.

I like value, big payouts, playing styles that suit Augusta and players in a groove. I also like players from Texas, the “Lone Star State” has produced eight winners and 13 green jackets, more than any other state. Originally from Mexico and Colombia respectively, Carlos Ortiz and Sebastián Muñoz were teammates at University of North Texas. I like their games and the value is rich.

Nothing is better than watching the Masters on Sunday, except perhaps getting paid to do it.

Elvis’ Top 10:

  • Justin Thomas 11/1 to win and -250 top 20
  • Jon Rahm 13/1 and -250 top 20
  • Patrick Reed 32/1 to win and -110 top 20
  • Viktor Hovland 35/1 and +100 top 20
  • Cameron Smith 39/1 and +120 top 20
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick 46/1 and +125 top 20
  • Abraham Ancer 95/1 and +200 top 20
  • Jason Kokrak 120/1 and +225 top 20
  • Carlos Ortiz 180/1 and +300 top 20
  • Sebastián Muñoz 210/1 and +333 top 20

Elvis’ Top Five $20 Plays for a $100 Total:

  • Justin Thomas 11/1 to win
  • Patrick Reed 32/1 to win
  • Cameron Smith 39/1 to win
  • Carlos Ortiz +300 top 20
  • Sebastián Muñoz +333 top 20

Odds for the 2021 Masters Field:

Dustin Johnson 10/1
Bryson Dechambeau 10/1
Jordan Spieth 11/1
Justin Thomas 11/1
Jon Rahm 13/1
Rory McIlroy 19/1
Patrick Cantlay 20/1
Xander Schauffele 25/1
Brooks Koepka 28/1
Collin Morikawa 29/1
Patrick Reed 32/1
Tony Finau 35/1
Viktor Hovland 35/1
Lee Westwood 36/1
Paul Casey 36/1
Cameron Smith 39/1
Daniel Berger 39/1
Sungjae Im 39/1
Hideki Matsuyama 40/1
Scottie Scheffler 40/1
Webb Simpson 43/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 46/1
Tyrrell Hatton 47/1
Adam Scott 49/1
Sergio Garcia 49/1
Tommy Fleetwood 49/1
Jason Day 60/1
JoaquIn Niemann 60/1
Bubba Watson 85/1
Louis Oosthuizen 90/1
Will Zalatoris 90/1
Abraham Ancer 95/1
Corey Conners 95/1
Billy Horschel 100/1
Justin Rose 100/1
Max Homa 100/1
Shane Lowry 100/1
Brian Harman 120/1
Harris English 120/1
Jason Kokrak 120/1
Matt Wallace 120/1
Matthew Wolff 120/1
Victor Perez 120/1
Matt Kuchar 140/1
Cameron Champ 160/1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 160/1
Francesco Molinari 160/1
Ian Poulter 160/1
Marc Leishman 160/1
Phil Mickelson 160/1
Robert MacIntyre 160/1
Si Woo Kim 160/1
Gary Woodland 160/1
Carlos Ortiz 180/1
Danny Willett 180/1
Dylan Frittelli 180/1
Matt Jones 180/1
Ryan Palmer 180/1
Kevin Kisner 190/1
Sebastian Munoz 210/1
Zach Johnson 210/1
Kevin Na 240/1
Lanto Griffin 250/1
Brendon Todd 290/1
CT Pan 290/1
Mackenzie Hughes 290/1
Bernd Wiesberger 350/1
Charl Schwartzel 350/1
Henrik Stenson 350/1
Martin Laird 350/1
Michael Thompson 350/1
Brian Gay 400/1
Hudson Swafford 500/1
Jimmy Walker 500/1
Stewart Cink 500/1
Bernhard Langer 900/1
Fred Couples 900/1
Jim Herman 900/1
Robert Streb 900/1
Tyler Strafaci 900/1

Thursday and Friday coverage is provided by masters.com and ESPN. CBS takes over from 3 to 7 p.m. on Saturday and 2 to 7 p.m. ET on Sunday.

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