Finding Value at Augusta National Golf Club


Big thanks to Sergio Garcia for helping me hit on $20 at 35-1 in 2017 — picking winners at Augusta will always hold a special place in my heart. When it comes to “return on investment,” singling golf tournament winners pays well. Where else can you bet $10 on the favorite and win $100? If we eliminate Sandy Lyle, “Woosie”, Larry Mize, Jose Maria Olazabal and the three amateurs; picking winners is 1/80 which is difficult, however 10/1 on the world No. 1 isn’t bad.

Reports from Georgia indicate the golf course is playing firm and fast which opens the door to those that know how to get around Amen Corner with finesse. The player that can play position-golf, get to the proper sections of the greens and make putts will win.  

One can only imagine the heated scene as green coated-Masters planning committee gathered to plan the 2021 edition, “I’ll be damned if them boys go around our golf course at 20-under par again! Unleash hell, superintendent!”

Dechambeau with his 211 ball speed could win, only if he’s hitting his wedges and putting like he did at the 2020 U.S. Open. “Beware of the wounded golfer,” they say, but Florida State Seminole Brooks Koepka is too wounded for my liking. Another “Nole”, Daniel Berger has been playing well and could make it to Butler Cabin, but doesn’t make my list.

I like value, big payouts, playing styles that suit Augusta and players in a groove. I also like players from Texas, the “Lone Star State” has produced eight winners and 13 green jackets, more than any other state. Originally from Mexico and Colombia respectively, Carlos Ortiz and Sebastián Muñoz were teammates at University of North Texas. I like their games and the value is rich.

Nothing is better than watching the Masters on Sunday, except perhaps getting paid to do it.

Elvis’ Top 10:

  • Justin Thomas 11/1 to win and -250 top 20
  • Jon Rahm 13/1 and -250 top 20
  • Patrick Reed 32/1 to win and -110 top 20
  • Viktor Hovland 35/1 and +100 top 20
  • Cameron Smith 39/1 and +120 top 20
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick 46/1 and +125 top 20
  • Abraham Ancer 95/1 and +200 top 20
  • Jason Kokrak 120/1 and +225 top 20
  • Carlos Ortiz 180/1 and +300 top 20
  • Sebastián Muñoz 210/1 and +333 top 20

Elvis’ Top Five $20 Plays for a $100 Total:

  • Justin Thomas 11/1 to win
  • Patrick Reed 32/1 to win
  • Cameron Smith 39/1 to win
  • Carlos Ortiz +300 top 20
  • Sebastián Muñoz +333 top 20

Odds for the 2021 Masters Field:

Dustin Johnson10/1
Bryson Dechambeau10/1
Jordan Spieth11/1
Justin Thomas11/1
Jon Rahm13/1
Rory McIlroy19/1
Patrick Cantlay20/1
Xander Schauffele25/1
Brooks Koepka28/1
Collin Morikawa29/1
Patrick Reed32/1
Tony Finau35/1
Viktor Hovland35/1
Lee Westwood36/1
Paul Casey36/1
Cameron Smith39/1
Daniel Berger39/1
Sungjae Im39/1
Hideki Matsuyama40/1
Scottie Scheffler40/1
Webb Simpson43/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick46/1
Tyrrell Hatton47/1
Adam Scott49/1
Sergio Garcia49/1
Tommy Fleetwood49/1
Jason Day60/1
JoaquIn Niemann60/1
Bubba Watson85/1
Louis Oosthuizen90/1
Will Zalatoris90/1
Abraham Ancer95/1
Corey Conners95/1
Billy Horschel100/1
Justin Rose100/1
Max Homa100/1
Shane Lowry100/1
Brian Harman120/1
Harris English120/1
Jason Kokrak120/1
Matt Wallace120/1
Matthew Wolff120/1
Victor Perez120/1
Matt Kuchar140/1
Cameron Champ160/1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout160/1
Francesco Molinari160/1
Ian Poulter160/1
Marc Leishman160/1
Phil Mickelson160/1
Robert MacIntyre160/1
Si Woo Kim160/1
Gary Woodland160/1
Carlos Ortiz180/1
Danny Willett180/1
Dylan Frittelli180/1
Matt Jones180/1
Ryan Palmer180/1
Kevin Kisner190/1
Sebastian Munoz210/1
Zach Johnson210/1
Kevin Na240/1
Lanto Griffin250/1
Brendon Todd290/1
CT Pan290/1
Mackenzie Hughes290/1
Bernd Wiesberger350/1
Charl Schwartzel350/1
Henrik Stenson350/1
Martin Laird350/1
Michael Thompson350/1
Brian Gay400/1
Hudson Swafford500/1
Jimmy Walker500/1
Stewart Cink500/1
Bernhard Langer900/1
Fred Couples900/1
Jim Herman900/1
Robert Streb900/1
Tyler Strafaci900/1

Thursday and Friday coverage is provided by and ESPN. CBS takes over from 3 to 7 p.m. on Saturday and 2 to 7 p.m. ET on Sunday.


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